Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035470 0.041583 0.047914 0.054920 0.062423 0.070185 0.078791
2026-01-18 0.026307 0.035013 0.044567 0.055660 0.068034 0.081282 0.096417
2026-01-25 0.020284 0.030432 0.042161 0.056320 0.072610 0.090484 0.111320
2026-02-01 0.015646 0.026539 0.039780 0.056330 0.075875 0.097745 0.123644
2026-02-08 0.011064 0.021876 0.035821 0.053922 0.075873 0.100913 0.131009
2026-02-15 0.008157 0.018876 0.033509 0.053145 0.077488 0.105688 0.139976
2026-02-22 0.006388 0.017154 0.032612 0.053924 0.080808 0.112318 0.150962
2026-03-01 0.005002 0.015731 0.031930 0.054833 0.084172 0.118911 0.161828
2026-03-08 0.004086 0.014897 0.031950 0.056567 0.088489 0.126586 0.173917
2026-03-15 0.003131 0.013748 0.031382 0.057424 0.091638 0.132809 0.184256
2026-03-22 0.003023 0.014267 0.033300 0.061633 0.099024 0.144145 0.200636
2026-03-29 0.001982 0.012477 0.031533 0.060703 0.099792 0.147405 0.207404
2026-04-05 0.001421 0.011626 0.031239 0.061896 0.103433 0.154364 0.218835
2026-04-12 0.000870 0.010487 0.030374 0.062241 0.105964 0.159981 0.228706
2026-04-19 0.000492 0.009553 0.029742 0.062852 0.108805 0.165955 0.238990
2026-04-26 0.000201 0.008483 0.028742 0.062845 0.110773 0.170807 0.247890
2026-05-03 0.000005 0.006689 0.026139 0.060292 0.109219 0.171167 0.251263
2026-05-10 NaN 0.005625 0.024751 0.059467 0.109921 0.174305 0.257970
2026-05-17 NaN 0.005129 0.024454 0.060293 0.112850 0.180241 0.268083
2026-05-24 NaN 0.004710 0.024262 0.061256 0.115948 0.186381 0.278438
2026-05-31 NaN 0.004546 0.024623 0.063092 0.120251 0.194056 0.290679
2026-06-07 NaN 0.004167 0.024425 0.063998 0.123246 0.200049 0.300845
2026-06-14 NaN 0.004666 0.026385 0.068446 0.131206 0.212420 0.318888